(bp, 10.Jul.2024) — This year’s Energy Outlook is focused on two main scenarios: Current Trajectory and Net Zero. These scenarios are not predictions of what is likely to happen or what bp would like to happen. Rather they explore the possible implications of different judgements and assumptions concerning the nature of the energy transition. The scenarios are based on existing technologies and do not consider the possible impact of entirely new or unknown technologies.
The many uncertainties surrounding the possible speed and nature of the energy transition means the probability of any one of these scenarios materialising exactly as described is negligible. Moreover, the two scenarios do not provide a comprehensive description of all possible outcomes. They do, however, span a wide range of possible outcomes and so might help to illustrate the key trends and uncertainties surrounding the possible development of energy markets out to 2050.
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